Ten, from a week of about fifty
Confidence asks more of a player than any other format: not just a winner for every game, but an order. Applied to a full NBA week that would be fifty ranked decisions, which nobody does twice.
So the card is a slate — ten games by default, chosen automatically and weighted toward national broadcasts. Twice the size of the Pick’Em slate, because ranking needs enough games to spread the weights across, and still small enough to finish over a coffee.
A league where ranking is genuinely hard
Basketball favorites win often enough to feel safe and lose often enough to ruin a week, and the reasons are rarely about who is better: rest, a back-to-back, a road trip, somebody sitting out. Ordering ten games by confidence in that environment is a real question, and the player who reads the schedule rather than the standings tends to be the one who wins.
Points bank themselves
Scores arrive off the live feed, so nobody types a result into a spreadsheet. Picks grade themselves as games go final, standings move on their own, and the commissioner finds out who won at the same time as everyone else.